GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/20/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Anderlecht are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fenerbahçe are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FenerbahçeWWWWD

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AnderlechtFenerbahçe
66.7Attack47.2
66.7Defence55.6
83.3Form47.2
75.3Power51.6
1.73xG1.02
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