GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/28/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Anderlecht are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while FC Porto are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (75.3 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtWWDWL

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
FC PortoLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AnderlechtFC Porto
66.7Attack53.3
66.7Defence50.0
83.3Form40.0
75.3Power49.6
1.96xG1.15
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