GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/6/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Antwerp · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Anderlecht are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Antwerp are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Antwerp hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Antwerp holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Antwerp

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

Antwerp has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AnderlechtLWLWW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AntwerpWWLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.75/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
AnderlechtAntwerp
33.3Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power89.7
1.20xG1.59
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