GGOALVIO

Greece · Cup · 8/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aris Thessalonikis · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Anagennisi Karditsas are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aris Thessalonikis are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aris Thessalonikis hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Cup, while Aris Thessalonikis holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aris Thessalonikis

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

14.4%

Aris Thessalonikis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Anagennisi KarditsasDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Aris ThessalonikisWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Anagennisi KarditsasAris Thessalonikis
0.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence81.0
0.0Form47.6
7.0Power55.3
0.93xG1.29
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