Anagennisi Deryneiavs
Ethnikos Achna
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ethnikos Achna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Anagennisi Deryneia 1-3 Ethnikos Achna
Original prediction
Ethnikos Achna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.29 | 21.1% | 24.9% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.9% | 26.1% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 56.0% | 49.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Ethnikos Achna
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Ethnikos Achna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40