Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fafe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Anadia are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Fafe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fafe hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.3 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Liga 3, while Fafe holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fafe
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Fafe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20