Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
América W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80