Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
América W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Toluca W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20