Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tijuana W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 66.3-point power-rating edge (93.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
9.6%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40