Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tijuana W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 64.4-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
67.6%
Model confidence
67.6%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20