América Wvs
Tigres UANL W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
América W 5-2 Tigres UANL W
Original prediction
América W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.4% | 46.3% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.5% | 23.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.53 | 20.1% | 30.7% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 27 · GA 3 · avg 5.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20