Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Pachuca W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40