Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pachuca W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80