Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 64.4-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40