Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Necaxa W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 64.4-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60