Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while León W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60