Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while León W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20