Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
América W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
América W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atlas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and América W hold a 59.7-point power-rating edge (91.0 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while América W holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
América W
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
América W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80