América-SP U20vsPortuguesa U20

COMPLETED

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Projected score: América-SP U20 0-2 Portuguesa U20, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Final result

América-SP U20 1-2 Portuguesa U20

Original prediction

Portuguesa U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	9.80	9.2%	6.5%	-2.7 pts
Draw	4.88	18.4%	15.0%	-3.5 pts
Away	1.24	72.4%	78.5%	6.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.1 pts

Projected Score

América-SP U20 0–2 Portuguesa U20

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa U20

Probability

78.5%

Model confidence

78.5%

Portuguesa U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

América-SP U20LWLWL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5

Portuguesa U20DWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5

América-SP U20Portuguesa U20

21.2Attack51.5

24.2Defence69.7

27.3Form63.6

27.7Power63.0

0.49xG2.38