América RN U20vs
Paysandu PA U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa do Brasil U20 · 10/14/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paysandu PA U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
América RN U20 0-3 Paysandu PA U20
Original prediction
Paysandu PA U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.1% | 34.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 24.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.1% | 40.3% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Paysandu PA U20
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Paysandu PA U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50
GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20