GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 6/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

XV de Piracicaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

América RJ are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Serie D, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

XV de Piracicaba

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

XV de Piracicaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

América RJWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
XV de PiracicabaLDDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
América RJXV de Piracicaba
33.3Attack40.5
33.3Defence66.7
36.1Form52.4
37.1Power54.7
0.68xG1.55
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