GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/30/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

América RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

América RJ are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Resende are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and América RJ hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Copa Rio, while América RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

América RJ

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

América RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

América RJWD

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
ResendeLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
América RJResende
58.3Attack91.7
83.3Defence58.3
58.3Form50.0
65.2Power60.5
1.33xG0.98
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