GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

América RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

América RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pouso Alegre are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and América RJ hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Serie D, while América RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

América RJ

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

16.6%

América RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

América RJWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Pouso AlegreLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
América RJPouso Alegre
33.3Attack20.0
33.3Defence53.3
36.1Form23.3
37.1Power34.0
1.01xG0.87
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