GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

América RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portuguesa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa RJ

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Portuguesa RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

América RJLWWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Portuguesa RJDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
América RJPortuguesa RJ
33.3Attack42.9
33.3Defence71.4
36.1Form45.2
37.1Power53.7
0.59xG1.63
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