América RJvsMadureira

América RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Madureira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Madureira hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (37.1 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Serie D, while Madureira holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.