América Mineiro U20vs
Atlético Mineiro U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro U20 · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Mineiro U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
América Mineiro U20 4-1 Atlético Mineiro U20
Original prediction
Atlético Mineiro U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 30.7% | 28.1% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.0% | 23.4% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.3% | 48.6% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Mineiro U20
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Atlético Mineiro U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60