Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šamorín 2-1 Pohronie
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.9% | 50.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.8% | 24.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.3% | 25.1% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŠamorínDWDLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
PohronieDWWLL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ŠamorínPohronie
64.1Attack53.8
61.5Defence59.0
74.4Form59.0
68.3Power58.5
1.75xG1.10