Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šamorín 1-1 Petržalka
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.43 | 37.3% | 38.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.1% | 27.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 33.9% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŠamorínLWWWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PetržalkaDWWLW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ŠamorínPetržalka
73.3Attack63.6
66.7Defence78.8
90.0Form84.8
78.5Power75.6
1.29xG1.16