Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šamorín 2-1 Žilina II
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.8% | 50.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.8% | 25.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.25 | 21.4% | 23.9% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŠamorínWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Žilina IIWDWWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ŠamorínŽilina II
73.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence73.3
80.0Form66.7
73.6Power61.0
1.55xG0.90