Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šamorín 2-1 Humenné
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.6% | 47.1% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.86 | 18.5% | 23.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 7.55 | 11.9% | 29.0% | 17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŠamorínDLWWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HumennéLLDDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ŠamorínHumenné
50.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power83.3
1.92xG1.71