Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šamorín · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šamorín 3-2 Galanta
Original prediction
Šamorín
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.6% | 57.9% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 23.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 5.81 | 15.6% | 18.5% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Šamorín
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Šamorín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŠamorínWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GalantaWWWWL
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ŠamorínGalanta
71.4Attack23.8
66.7Defence57.1
85.7Form47.6
75.9Power45.5
2.03xG0.63