GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/11/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Amorebieta are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Levante are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Levante hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AmorebietaLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LevanteLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
AmorebietaLevante
29.4Attack38.9
57.9Defence64.3
35.7Form46.8
42.6Power52.2
0.65xG0.92
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