Amorebietavs
Coruxo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amorebieta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Amorebieta 1-0 Coruxo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Amorebieta 2-1 Coruxo
Original prediction
Amorebieta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.0% | 40.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 30.5% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 28.6% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Projected Score
Amorebieta 1–0 Coruxo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Amorebieta
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Amorebieta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmorebietaWLWLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CoruxoWLLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AmorebietaCoruxo
38.1Attack27.8
66.7Defence55.6
47.6Form27.8
53.0Power40.0
1.23xG0.69