Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amora · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amora 0-1 Real
Original prediction
Amora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 55.1% | 55.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 24.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.60 | 19.6% | 20.1% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Amora
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Amora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmoraWDLWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RealLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AmoraReal
100.0Attack30.8
66.7Defence41.0
100.0Form17.9
88.7Power32.6
2.25xG0.68