Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amora 1-0 Lajense
Original prediction
Amora
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 59.2% | 47.2% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.0% | 26.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.34 | 16.8% | 26.6% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Amora
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Amora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmoraLDLWD
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LajenseLDLWW
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AmoraLajense
44.4Attack83.3
66.7Defence0.0
44.4Form16.7
53.1Power36.5
1.68xG1.19