Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amora · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Amora are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lajense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Amora hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (68.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D, while Amora holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Amora
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
17.1%
Amora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60