GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ammanford AFC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cardiff MET are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff MET hold a 56.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 92.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 11.2% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.6%

Model confidence

11.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ammanford AFCDLWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Cardiff METWWDLW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ammanford AFCCardiff MET
50.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power92.8
1.28xG1.92
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