Ammanford AFCvs
Cardiff MET
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff MET · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ammanford AFC 0-5 Cardiff MET
Original prediction
Cardiff MET
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.15 | 17.5% | 21.9% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.7% | 23.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.8% | 54.8% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff MET
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Cardiff MET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40