Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amkar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Amkar are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Zenit 2 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 96.3 against 94.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Amkar holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Amkar
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
13.8%
Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40