Amkarvs
Torpedo Miass
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amkar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amkar 1-2 Torpedo Miass
Original prediction
Amkar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 54.3% | 61.5% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.6% | 19.3% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 23.1% | 19.2% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Amkar
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00