Amkarvs
Metallurg Lipetsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/29/2023, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amkar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Amkar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Amkar hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (96.3 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Amkar holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Amkar
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00