GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/29/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Amkar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Amkar are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Amkar hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (96.3 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Amkar holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Amkar

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AmkarWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metallurg LipetskWLDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
AmkarMetallurg Lipetsk
88.9Attack35.2
100.0Defence63.0
100.0Form50.0
96.3Power50.7
1.50xG0.68
View match centre →