Amkarvs
Irtysh Omsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amkar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amkar 4-1 Irtysh Omsk
Original prediction
Amkar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 60.3% | 80.2% | 19.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.53 | 19.8% | 11.5% | -8.3 pts |
| Away | 5.48 | 19.9% | 8.3% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Amkar
Probability
80.2%
Model confidence
80.2%
Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60