Amkarvs
Dinamo Moskva II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amkar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 4-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Amkar 4-0 Dinamo Moskva II
Original prediction
Amkar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.2% | 76.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.40 | 14.0% | 13.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 7.01 | 12.8% | 10.6% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.4–09%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Amkar
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
76.0%
Amkar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 15 · avg 2.60/3.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60