GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/1/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Znamya Noginsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Amkal are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Znamya Noginsk are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLDW), averaging 2.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Znamya Noginsk hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Cup, while Znamya Noginsk holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Znamya Noginsk

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Znamya Noginsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AmkalL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Znamya NoginskWLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.75/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
AmkalZnamya Noginsk
50.0Attack83.3
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power86.5
1.28xG1.40
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