Amiensvs
Villefranche
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 10/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amiens · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Amiens 1-0 Villefranche, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Amiens 3-0 Villefranche
Original prediction
Amiens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.9% | 50.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.9% | 26.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.27 | 21.3% | 22.7% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Amiens 1–0 Villefranche
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Amiens
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Amiens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmiensDWDWW
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VillefrancheLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AmiensVillefranche
37.5Attack29.2
87.5Defence20.8
50.0Form16.7
58.1Power25.3
1.89xG0.47