Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Amiens are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Quevilly are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DWDD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Amiens hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.25/1.75
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.75/0.50