Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amiens · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Amiens 0-0 Orleans, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Amiens 2-0 Orleans
Original prediction
Amiens
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 45.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.2% | 29.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.29 | 27.4% | 25.2% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Amiens 0–0 Orleans
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Amiens
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Amiens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AmiensDWWLL
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
OrleansLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AmiensOrleans
33.3Attack33.3
88.9Defence55.6
44.4Form38.9
54.9Power43.7
1.12xG0.67