GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/23/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Americano Campos · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Americano Campos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Macaé are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Americano Campos hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.4% in the Copa Rio, while Americano Campos holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Americano Campos

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

20.4%

Americano Campos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Americano CamposDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MacaéDLDDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Americano CamposMacaé
25.0Attack16.7
75.0Defence66.7
41.7Form16.7
50.3Power36.5
0.95xG0.70
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