GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 8/23/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Americano Campos are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Barra da Tijuca are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Barra da Tijuca hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Americano CamposW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Barra da TijucaL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Americano CamposBarra da Tijuca
25.0Attack16.7
75.0Defence83.3
41.7Form50.0
50.3Power53.0
0.85xG0.74
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