America SPvs
Tupa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
America SP are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tupa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America SP
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
16.3%
America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80