America SPvs
Santacruzense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
America SP are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santacruzense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
America SP
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
14.9%
America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80