GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

America SP · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

America SP are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Santa Fé FC are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and America SP hold a 34.9-point power-rating edge (66.9 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Paulista Série B, while America SP holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

America SP

Probability

80.3%

Model confidence

17.5%

America SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

America SPLDW

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.33/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Santa Fé FCLLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
America SPSanta Fé FC
51.0Attack33.3
80.4Defence33.3
66.7Form20.0
66.9Power32.0
2.43xG0.43
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